Reports

Maintenance

With maintenance barrels being priced, the North Sea crude market saw an incredibly bearish week in the prompt as physical differentials surged below $0/bbl into the end of last week…

Nimbostratus Naphtha

This past fortnight has seen a generally weaker naphtha complex in both regions, yet, more exacerbated in the East, as Apr E/W fell to single digit figures.

Brent Futures Sideways at $86/bbl

The Brent futures flat price for the June contract has had a rangebound morning. Price action saw a small surge reaching $86.23/bbl at 09:15 GMT, before coming back down to just below the $86/bbl mark by the time of writing (10:00 GMT).

Trade Wars: A New Alpha

Our weekly Onyx Alpha report presents speculative and hedging trades based on technical analysis and data-driven tradecraft methods on Onyx Commitment of Traders (COT) and Flux Financials data.

Futures Report: Price Action Stagnation

Technical indicators for June revealed a week of consolidation and widening Bollinger bands. Brent’s RSI briefly entered overbought territory before coming off as prices corrected lower.

This Week’s Target Price: $86-87/bbl

Oil prices registered some strength overnight on the back of support generated in the early hours of Asian trading with the Jun Brent futures climbing to $85.40/bbl at 03:20 GMT. The futures eased to $85.35/bbl come 09:20 GMT, but remain elevated compared to last Friday’s plummet into the sub-$85/bbl handles.

Brent Finding It Hard To Remain Above The $86/bbl Mark

The Brent futures flat price for the prompt contract has seen a relatively volatile morning. Price action initially held just below the $86/bbl mark, however, after reaching lows of $85.55/bbl at 08:45 GMT, prices found support to climb to $86.17/bbl come 09:40 GMT.

Brent Poised to Remain Unchanged on the week

The May Brent futures contract is poised to end the week largely unchanged amid prices having coming off from $86/bbl at 13:20 GMT to $85.30/bbl at 17:20 GMT (time of writing).

Fuel Oil: 380? More like 480

The HSFO complex saw huge swings in price action which ultimately culminated in a softening of the East/West on fears of poor Chinese demand at these higher flat price levels (around $480/mt in the prompt 380).

Brent Softens To $85.45/bbl

The May Brent futures contract weakened further to the $85.20/bbl handles at 15:00 GMT where it found support and printed $85.45/bbl at 17:20 GMT (time of writing).

SPR-U-Kidding Me?

Oil finally soared over $150/bbl as the US raced to fill up the SPR to 2022 levels… and then I woke up. It was a crazy couple of hours as traders asked themselves “What the hell does Jennifer Granholm mean?” and the answer was clear – she doesn’t know what she means.