Reports

Daily Trade Idea: 07/06/2024

Long the Jul/Aug 92 spread This spread got to highs of 55 , but then got pressured down to 35 levels due to physical selling and   profit taking. The 92 complex has been supported in the front, due to

TMNs: Triple-Digit Dreams

Last Sunday, OPEC+ held a meeting in Saudi Arabia, went to sleep and woke up to a nightmarish regime in oil. The meeting saw the producer group decide to (surprise, surprise) extend their voluntary output cuts.

The Officials: Volume 1, Issue 4 (Asia)

In ‘The Officials’, Onyx Capital Advisory publishes outright values, spreads, cracks and boxes for the main energy commodities traded in the marketplace. The published values are determined independently and on a fair market basis by our team of dedicated professionals.

Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Hovering Around $78/bbl Handles

The Aug Brent Futures flat price saw a fairly muted morning in terms of price action, with much of the morning seeing trading in a range between $78.60/bbl and $78.80/bbl. It briefly touched an intraday high of $79.15/bbl at 09:00 BST but appears to have met some resistance and is hovering around the $78.70/bbl mark at 11:00 BST (time of writing).

CFTC Predictor:

In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s proprietary data.

Daily Trade Idea: 06/06/2024

Short Jul/Aug 3.5 spreads Demand in Europe is still tepid alongside ample stockpiles, as we get closer to summer cooling season, demand shall pick up and inventories should fall. Alongside this, Jul/Aug 3.5 Barges is trading high in the overbought

LPG Report: US stocks at highest since Jan 12

The LST/FEI saw further pressure over the past two weeks where, after a brief window of strength at the end of May, the Jul contract fell to $242/mt despite observed buying, likely from importers jumping to hedge at these low levels. The weakness perhaps came from LST selling and heavy buying in FEI at the same time.

The Officials: Volume 1, Issue 3 (Asia)

In ‘The Officials’, Onyx Capital Advisory publishes outright values, spreads, cracks and boxes for the main energy commodities traded in the marketplace. The published values are determined independently and on a fair market basis by our team of dedicated professionals.

Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Choppy In $77/bbl Handles

The Aug Brent Futures flat price has had a mixed morning, initially lingering around $77.50/bbl until 08:15 BST and then ticking up to $77.85/bbl at 09:05 BST. Following this, it fell to $77.20/bbl at 10:10 BST, then rose to $77.70/bbl by 10:50 BST, before falling to $77.40/bbl handles, where it sits as of 11:10 BST (time of writing).

Daily Trade Idea: 05/06/2024

Asian low sulphur fuel oil market structure has weakened over the last couple of days of June, with cash differential for the marine fuel grade dropped to a five-week low amid competitive offers and weaker deals for June-loading physical cargoes. There is persistent lacklustre bunker demand in Singapore, which is expected to see additional supplies coming from Europe in the coming weeks.

The Officials: Volume 1, Issue 1 (Europe)

In ‘The Officials’, Onyx Capital Advisory publishes outright values, spreads, cracks and boxes for the main energy commodities traded in the marketplace. The published values are determined independently and on a fair market basis by our team of dedicated professionals.

Dubai Market Report – Say Du-bye to $100/bbl

Following a period of extraordinary weakness in crude, with Brent and Dubai both falling over $6.50/bbl between May 29 and Jun 03, there has been no shortage of interesting price action.