In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s proprietary data.
The Aug Brent Futures flat price has had a mixed morning, falling from $83.25/bbl at 07:20 BST down to $82.95/bbl by 09:10 before it rallied up to the morning’s high of $83.50/bbl at 09:50 BST. Following this it has softened back to $83.00/bbl handles.
Over the past 2 weeks we have seen downward pressure on the 0.5 E/W with news from the East that there was little demand after tenders issued by Al Zour refinery in Kuwait. However…
The Aug Brent Futures flat price has had a weak afternoon, falling steadily from $84.50/bbl at 12:00 BST to $83.80/bbl at 14:50 BST.
The Aug Brent futures flat price has had a reasonably quiet morning trading in a very tight range around $84.30/bbl. It has since seen a minor uptick to $84.65/bbl, where it is currently trading as of 11:00 BST.
Long 0.5% Sing Jun/Jul There has been tepid demand for LSFO at the moment and with Al Zour refinery issuing tenders at the beginning of May there has been a good supply. But we expect that to correct a little
It seems like the North Sea crude market has begun to gasp for air after drowning in a very weak May.
The Aug Brent flat price saw a positive afternoon starting from $83.00/bbl and rallying up to $84.80/bbl as at 16:40 BST.
The Jul EBOB crack started the fortnight strong but softened quickly and retraced below $18/bbl on May 22 where it found support albeit only shifting to trade around a range of $18-18.30/bbl.
With another week comes another selection of trade ideas from Onyx Research. Our weekly Onyx Alpha report presents speculative and hedging trades based on technical analysis and data-driven tradecraft methods on Onyx Commitment of Traders (COT) and Flux Financials data.
