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Fuel Oil Report – Nothing Rallies Like the 380 E/W

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HSFO

The HSFO complex saw a reasonable amount of strength this week, which was disproportionately focused in Asia, causing the 380 E/W to rally aggressively, with the Aug contract rising from $13/mt to $21/mt.

We saw plenty of trade house buying across the HSFO complex, with notable net positioning additions being in the Aug 3.5% barge crack (+600kb) and Aug VISCO (+521kb).

The VISCO had an extremely mixed fortnight, which saw its price in Aug fall $3 from $6.75/mt to $3.75/mt from 28 June to 08 July, before then rallying to finish the fortnight up at $7/mt.

VLSFO

The VLSFO complex had a fairly varied week in price action, as whilst outright contracts typically strengthened in the first week, they tended to retrace down post-05 July.

The Aug 0.5% barge crack rallied from $3.55/bbl to $4.50/bbl from 28 June to 02 July, but then lost support post 05 July to end the fortnight at $3.50/bbl.

The prompt 0.5 E/W had a weak fortnight indicating relative European strength, lingering around $42.50-44/mt levels before ticking down significantly on 11 July to $41.85/mt amidst trade houses reducing their net position in the Aug contract by over 425kb.

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    Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.