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A Broker’s Take: Long Q3 3.5% barge crack

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Over the past week, there has been significant downward pressure on 3.5% barge cracks, particularly evident in the prompt months which have experienced substantial sell-offs. Notably, the May, June, and July contracts reached lows of -$13.68/bbl, -$12.34/bbl, and -$11.44/bbl, respectively. This trend has extended into Q3, attributed to trade houses divesting prompt month positions. While European trade houses initially expressed interest in exiting long positions in March, recent activity indicates increased buy-side flow from physical players in Q3, Q4, and Q1’25.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.