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Overnight & Singapore Window: Resistance at $85, Support Below $85

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The September Brent futures contract surpassed the $85/bbl handle again this morning, sitting at $85.30/bbl at 09:00 BST, but simmered off to $84.90/bbl by 11:25 BST (time of writing). The IEA stated in a report today that global electricity demand is set to grow at its fastest pace in nearly 20 years in 2024, supported by a surge in demand for air conditioning. In addition, about 150kb/d of Canadian crude was exported from the USGC in June, relative to monthly averages of 170kb/d over the past 12 months, despite the expansion of the Trans Mountain pipeline (TMX). China’s Petroleum and Chemical Corp (Sinopec) reported a rise of 5.08 mb/d (+0.1% y/y) in crude throughput over 1H’24 to 126.69 million metric tonne, relative to +1.7% y/y in Q1’24. Also in China, a Reuters poll shows that market players expect the nation to leave benchmark lending rates unchanged in the PBOC’s upcoming interest rate meeting despite weaker-than-expected Q2’24 economic data. Finally, at the time of writing, the front-month and six-month Brent futures spread stand at $1.10/bbl and $4.15/bbl, respectively.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.