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Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Surges Above $80/bbl

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Following a relatively quiet overnight session, the October Brent futures flat price spiked above $80/bbl on Monday morning, jumping by 70c in 20 minutes, trading at $80.50/bbl as of 11:20 BST (time of writing). Earlier, Brent touched $80/bbl at 09:15 but hit an initial wave of resistance. The latest CFTC data for the week ending 20 August showed money managers becoming increasingly bearish in both crude futures benchmarks (Brent + WTI), likely on the back of a fading geopolitical risk premia and China demand concerns. New Zealand said on Monday it would pass laws by the end of this year to reverse a ban on offshore O&G exploration, and take urgent steps to remove regulatory hurdles to import LNG amid energy shortages. According to an interim report, Sinopec aims to lower its crude throughput by 1.6% in 2H24 to 5.03mb/d from 1H24, suggesting the country’s crude imports may be capped for the remainder of the year. Finally, the front (Oct/Nov) and 6-month (Oct/Apr) Brent futures spreads are at $1.04/bbl and $3.36/bbl respectively.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.