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Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Just Shy of $80.40/bbl

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The Oct’24 Brent futures flat price started the day on a bullish front and rallied past the $80/bbl handle. The benchmark crude futures contract was observed sitting just below $80.40/bbl as of 11:35 BST (time of writing). CFTC COT data for Brent futures over the week ending 06 Aug showcased managed-by-money participants liquidating over 37.8mb from their length w/w (-18.73%) while their short-positioned counterparts were seen adding over 18mb to their positions w/w (+13.80%). Prod/merc players in Brent futures were more risk-off in the week ending 06 Aug, removing over 49mb from their longs w/w (-5.30%) and 55mb from their shorts (-4.70%). In other news, Saudi Arabian crude oil exports to China are set to decline by nearly 3mb to 43mb in Sep’24. Russia has evacuated civilians from a portion of the Belgorod region bordering Ukraine following rising Ukrainian military activity near the border. Finally, at the time of writing, the Oct/Nov’24 and Oct/Apr’25 Brent futures spreads stood at $0.80/bbl and $2.90/bbl, respectively.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.