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Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Falls Below $80/bbl

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The Oct’24 Brent futures contract fell below the $80/bbl mark at 05:40 BST, sitting at $79.80/bbl at 06:50 BST. However, the futures contract found support at this level and firmed up to $80.20/bbl at 11:30 BST (time of writing). The US CPI increased by 0.2% in July to 2.9% y/y (June: +3% y/y), its first sub-3% reading since March 2021. The core CPI climbed 0.2% in July (June: 0.2%). In China, new home prices declined 4.9% y/y, their sharpest drop since June 2015 (June: 4.5% y/y). In other news, Chevron Corp. will reportedly pay $550 million over 10 years to the city council in Richmond, California, as a settlement to drop a proposed new tax on Chevron’s Richmond refinery. As per a National Statistics Office (SSB) survey, Norwegian oil and gas investments are expected to hit a record 257 billion Norwegian crowns ($23.99 billion) in 2024 and remain elevated in 2025 on the back of ongoing field developments and rising inflation. Finally, at the time of writing, the Oct/Nov’24 and Oct/Apr’25 Brent futures spreads stood at $0.80/bbl and $2.70/bbl, respectively.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.