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European Window: Brent Rallies To $77.42/bbl

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Nov’24 Brent futures fl at price increased sharply this afternoon after a period of volatility, pricing at $76.80/bbl at 12:00 BSTand reaching $77.42/bbl at 17:50 BST (time of writing). In the news, Russian oil shipping costs to India are easing, attributedto build-up in Russia’s fl eet and general weakness in the freight market. For mid-September, the cost for a Russian tanker totransport 100,000 mt has dropped to $4.25-$4.5 million compared to $4.7-$4.9 million for the period July to August. In othernews, a Reuters survey showed that Saudi Arabia could reduce the price of its crude loading for Asia in October. Theirsignature crude grade, Arab Light, is expected to be priced $0.50 to $0.70/bbl lower than the September prices. The pricereduction comes as a result of weaker Dubai benchmark prices and decreasing refi nery margins across Asia. Finally, Libyahas declared force majeure on El-Feel oil fi eld, a legal clause allowing exports to be halted, amid a widening shutdown ofproduction across the country. The El-Feel fi eld in the southwest was pumping approximately 70 kb/d when in operation andthe nation’s total oil output has more than halved since last week. At the time of writing, the front month (Nov/Dec’24) andsix-month (Nov/May’25) Brent futures spreads are at $0.75/bbl and $2.38/bbl, respectively.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.