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European Window: Brent Inches Up To $73.40/bbl

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The Feb’25 Brent futures contract was supported this afternoon, rising from $73.00/bbl at 12:00 GMT up to $73.40/bbl at 17:50 GMT (time of writing). In the news today, OPEC’s monthly report has cut oil demand growth forecasts for this 2024 by 210kb/d to 1.6mb/d, marking the fifth consecutive month the cartel has reduced its demand projection, as per Bloomberg. Meanwhile, crude oil production from all OPEC members rose by 104kb/d in November m/m, due to increased output in Libya, Iran, and Nigeria, according to OPEC’s secondary sources. Nigeria’s oil production hit its highest level for 2024 in November with a total of 1.7mb/d (+13.3% m/m) of crude oil and condensate output. In other news, Exxon has unveiled plans to increase spending to $28-$33 billion annually with a goal of lifting oil and gas output by 18% by 2030. Furthermore, Exxon aims to triple its production in the Permian Basin to 2.3mb/d by 2030 and pump 1.3mb/d in Guyana, as per Reuters. Finally, At the time of writing, the Feb/Mar’25 and Feb/Aug’25 Brent futures spreads stand at $0.36/bbl and $1.45/bbl, respectively.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.