13 September 2024: 16:30 BST
Flat price has largely shrugged off APPEC’s bearish consensus; the market was overly short, really. Flat price and spreads all gained through the backend of the week and traders reported that next week, they’re “not really seeing any selling”, but they followed up that the two subsequent weeks have lots of selling. In short, the market is backwardating. Let’s not understate this: implied diffs are $1.30 for next week, little changed from where we are now, but the week after, they’re pricing 80c!! The market is teetering on the clifftops, Kennie had better have his parachute. There’s still plenty of trading time, so who knows? Nobody…
In ‘The Officials’, Onyx Capital Advisory publishes outright values, spreads, cracks and boxes for the main energy commodities traded in the marketplace. The published values are determined independently and on a fair market basis by our team of dedicated professionals.
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