4 November 2024: 16:30 GMT
The gap between the two US presidential candidates has been closing in both the betting market and polls. FiveThirtyEight shows a 1 point Harris lead on average, where just last week she was 1.4 points ahead. In the betting odds, Polymarket is showing a 58.1% chance of a Trump triumph, 10% lower than last Thursday… it’s like someone is scripting this to go down to the wire. Harris looks set to win the popular vote, according to Polymarket, but it doesn’t matter how many people vote for you if they’re in the wrong place. Many analysts have given a lot of credence to betting odds, so it’s crunch time to see if that confidence was misplaced. The Dems beat Trump to something: 20 states saw gasoline prices fall below $3/gallon!
In ‘The Officials’, Onyx Capital Advisory publishes outright values, spreads, cracks and boxes for the main energy commodities traded in the marketplace. The published values are determined independently and on a fair market basis by our team of dedicated professionals.
We invite you to read our reports, which will initially be published twice a day, reflecting closing values at 16:30 Singapore time (SGT) and at 16:30 London time (GMT/BST).
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