4 November 2024: 09:30 GMT
OPEC caught us on the blindside with its extension of voluntary cuts, kicking the oil can down the road to at least the end of December. They’ve entrenched themselves in defence of the $70 line, declaring: “No pasarán!” Or is it the $75.00 line? And the markets liked it, with flat price opening around $1.40/bbl up from Friday’s close. OPEC must have enjoyed October’s increased oil prices, pumped up by geopolitical anxieties, and decided it wanted to keep them there. A similar announcement in September provoked little price reaction, as most market participants expected the cuts to be extended, but were more divided for the progression of OPEC’s supply this time. Crucially, in September, they announced a 2 month extension – this time it’s 1 month. Members’ patience is thin; they want to sell crude and they need money!
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