Data Vault Reports
US EIA Weekly Report
This report reviews the key data from the US EIA’s Weekly Petroleum Status Report
Onyx CFTC Style COT Reports – 07 Oct 2024
Onyx’s in-house CTA positioning model determines the net positioning of CTAs in a range of futures benchmarks. The week ending 01 Oct saw CTA positioning quite flat in the week, overall seeing a small net increase in the combined futures. Since then, there has been good strength from CTAs, with Brent passing its 50-day average, which likely bouldered their strength. In crude, we saw Brent clock in fall in net positioning, from around -30mb to -37mb on 1 Oct. WTI futures also decreased in the week, from over -25mb on 24 Sep to -33mb on 1 Oct. The largest increase in CTA net positioning in the week to 01 Sep was in ICE Brent. The products’ net positioning all fell weakly, with RBOB seeing RBOB continuing to see the lowest net positioning in tepid market conditions.
Brent Forecast Review: 4th October 2024
Turbulent Times Ahead On Monday, we predicted the Dec’24 Brent futures to finish the week between $69-74/bbl amid an oversupplied oil market. However, the futures contract witnessed an injection of bullish sentiment due to growing concerns regarding the regional escalation
US EIA Weekly Report
This report reviews the key data from the US EIA’s Weekly Petroleum Status Report
Onyx CFTC Style COT Reports – 30 Sep 2024
Onyx’s in-house CTA positioning model determines the net positioning of CTAs in a range of futures benchmarks. The week ending 27 Sep saw CTA positioning rise and fall, overall to leave a very small net change. In crude, we saw Brent clock in an almost 0% change increase, w/w, at around -32.8mb after reaching a peak of almost -30mb. WTI futures saw heavier selling as the net positioning fell around 5mb (20%). The largest increase in CTA net positioning in the week to 24 Sep was in ICE Gasoil, which saw an almost 6mb increase, this brought the CTA net positioning for gasoil to the highest in the selected futures.
Energy futures correlation with the S&P 500 and the DXY dollar index
This report covers the correlation in daily returns (on different rolling window periods) between the main energy contracts listed on the ICE and NYMEX exchange and the S&P 500 and the DXY dollar index.
Brent Forecast Review: 27th September 2024
Lacking a spark We expected Nov’24 Brent futures to end the week trading between $70/bbl and $75.00/bbl as we failed to see it breaking out of a rangebound market. Price action this week validated this view, with the contract trading
Weekly Oil Inventories Report
This report reviews weekly oil inventory data from the US EIA’s Weekly Petroleum Status Report, Global Insights’ ARA Independent Storage and International Enterprise’s Singapore product storage
US EIA Weekly Report
This report reviews the key data from the US EIA’s Weekly Petroleum Status Report
Onyx CFTC Style COT Reports – 23 Sep 2024
Onyx’s in-house CTA positioning model determines the net positioning of CTAs in a range of futures benchmarks. The week ending 20 Sep saw CTA positioning rise across the crude futures alongside oil products albeit still remaining very net short. In crude, we saw Brent and WTI futures clock in a 34% and 39% increase, w/w, to -32.9k lots and -24.5k lots, respectively. This support emerged after CTA positioning approached the “max short” levels recorded in both contracts. Oil products also witnessed a rise in CTA net positioning from last week’s extremely short position. In the middle distillates complex, gasoil and heating oil climbed by 29% and 22%, respectively, to -33k lots each. In gasoline, RBOB futures recorded a 20% increase in CTA net length w/w to -37.8k lots.
Energy futures correlation with the S&P 500 and the DXY dollar index
This report covers the correlation in daily returns (on different rolling window periods) between the main energy contracts listed on the ICE and NYMEX exchange and the S&P 500 and the DXY dollar index.
Bloomberg survey of crude oil price forecasts
This report compares and contrasts the Bloomberg survey of ICE Brent and NYMEX WTI forecast to their high/low range as well the forward curve
Global PMI Report
This report covers services and manufacturing PMI across the G20 countries
Weekly Oil Inventories Report
This report reviews weekly oil inventory data from the US EIA’s Weekly Petroleum Status Report, Global Insights’ ARA Independent Storage and International Enterprise’s Singapore product storage
US EIA Weekly Report
This report reviews the key data from the US EIA’s Weekly Petroleum Status Report