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European Window: Brent Sells-Off To $74.30/bbl

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The Dec’24 Brent futures contract sold-off this afternoon, from $75.76/bbl at 12:00 BST and falling to $74.33/bbl at 17:25 BST (time of writing). In the news today, Reuters reported that US and Israeli negotiators are due to gather in Doha to restart negotiations for a Gaza ceasefire deal, with the head of Israel’s Mossad due to attend, according to Prime Minister Netanyahu’s office. In other news, Saudi Arabia’s oil export revenues have hit a three-year low, standing at $17.4 billion in August 2024, down 15.5% y/y, as per data from the country’s General Authority for Statistics. Finally, Norway’s largest oilfield, Johan Sverdrup, is expected to hit its production peak by early 2025, after hitting a one-day production record of 756kb/d for Q3’24, according to S&P Global. The operator of Joan Sverdrup, Equinor, stated that the platform is currently on a plateau in production until its expected 2025 peak. At the time of writing, the front-month (Dec/Jan’25) and six-month (Dec/Jun’25) Brent futures spreads are at $0.36/bbl and $1.46/bbl, respectively.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.