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European Window: Oct’24 Brent rangebound around $80.50/bbl

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The October Brent futures contract remained rangebound this afternoon, falling from $80.35/bbl at 14:00 BST to below $80/bbl at 15:45 BST to finally rise to $80.60/bbl at 17:30 BST (time of writing). EIA data for the week ending 26 July reported a decline in US crude oil inventories. Crude stocks saw a draw of 3.436mb against median estimates of a 1.1mb draw. Inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, witnessed a 1.106mb draw, although crude production remained unchanged. Interestingly, refinery utilisation declined by 1.5% to 90.1% against an estimated rise of 0.8%, highlighting lower demand for US crude in domestic refineries. Crude oil exports from the US increased by 733kb/d to 4.919mb/d. In macroeconomic news, Eurozone inflation unexpectedly rose to 2.6% in July (prev: 2.5%), although services price growth softened to 4.0% (prev: 4.1%). Finally, at the time of writing, the Oct/Nov and Oct/Apr’25 Brent futures spreads stood at $0.55/bbl and $2.45/bbl, respectively.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.