Brent futures have been coming off over the start of the day, with the Apr contract trading from highs of $82.46/bbl at 08:30 GMT to retrace to $81.73/bbl at 10:00 GMT (time of writing). WTI prices have followed the same trend, trading at highs of $77.74/bbl at 08:30 GMT and at $77.06/bbl at 10:00 GMT.
Prices were less supported on the back of poor global economic data. Asian stocks retraced today as China reported poor manufacturing data, announcing a PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) of 49.2, signalling a contraction state for the fourth consecutive month despite rising from the 49.0 levels seen in December. Germany’s retail sales data showed a decrease of 1.6% in December, as opposed to an expected 0.7% increase. Both news signal a poor economic outlook, which in turn weighs on oil prices.
China’s exports of refined oil products are expected to fall 13.7% in Feb, according to OilChem. Despite a soon-to-come Lunar New Year celebration in the country, gasoline prices are expected to shrink in February amid a forecasted 3% fall in consumption.
The US Fed meeting is set to take place today at 19:00 GMT, after which we expect a decision on current interest rates.
The Apr/May and Apr/Oct Brent futures spreads are at $0.35/bbl and $2.39/bbl, respectively.
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Apr Brent Futures retraced below $82/bbl due to weak economic data
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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.