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Brent below $78/bbl as EIA Stats Await

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The Brent futures flat price for the prompt contract has seen a relatively quiet morning reaching highs of $78.43/bbl at 08:00 GMT, before falling to $78.01 at 08:25 GMT and then coming off further to below the $78/bbl mark, hitting $77.97/bbl at 09:10 GMT.

The IEA has made a revision to its global oil demand growth forecast for 2024, increasing it by 180kbbls/d taking the total to 1.24mbbls/d, on the back of improved economic outlook and poor oil prices in Q4’23 acting as a tailwind. In retaliation to attacks launched by Iran, the Pakistani military has carried out targeted strikes against Iranian militant hideouts.

The API announced a small build in US crude inventories of 0.5mbbls, the first in three weeks, albeit to a small degree. Notably, Cushing storage in Oklahoma saw a second consecutive draw, but this time a more significant amount of almost 2mbbls. The market patiently awaits confirmation from the EIA stats scheduled to release this afternoon.

The front and 6-month Brent futures spreads are at $0.42/bbl and $1.79/bbl, respectively.


Asian Refinery Margins: Q2-24: $8.52/bbl, Cal24: $8.48/bbl
Europe Refinery Margins: Q2-24: $6.49/bbl, Cal24: $5.63/bbl

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.